{"id":3632,"date":"2021-09-18T10:05:07","date_gmt":"2021-09-18T15:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/?p=3632"},"modified":"2021-09-18T10:05:07","modified_gmt":"2021-09-18T15:05:07","slug":"another-saturday-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/2021\/09\/18\/another-saturday-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Another Saturday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Another week in the books. I still need to figure out how to remind myself that reconsideration is not a bad thing.  In very basic military operations, as a leader, you conduct an After-Action Review (AAR) after you&#8217;ve finished what you planned to do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have no plan, nobody can ever analyze how you performed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Where I am, lately, though is reconsidering my initial reactions to news items and ads I&#8217;ve seen or heard lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first one was <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5dc.com\/news\/some-montgomery-county-teachers-fear-losing-jobs-over-exemptions-for-masks-vaccines\" target=\"_blank\">this <\/a>story out of the US community most-aligned with the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/East_Germany\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DDR<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My initial reaction was, &#8220;you chose to live\/work there.&#8221;  That was quickly followed with a variation on the &#8220;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/knowyourmeme.com\/memes\/learn-to-code\" target=\"_blank\">Learn To Code<\/a>&#8221; meme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I shouldn&#8217;t think that way.  The bigger issue is government force to compel compliance with measures taken to address a virus that has a very low fatality rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers are presented <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbc26.com\/news\/coronavirus\/cdc-estimates-covid-19-fatality-rate-including-asymptomatic-cases\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.  If you&#8217;re under the age of 50, doing some quick math, the fatality rate of the virus is 0.02%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For people over 70, even, the fatality rate is less than six percent.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trust the science!!1!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes, also, do the math.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ve said before that I expect that I will probably catch this virus at some point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have as much concern about it killing me as I do about dying from a laundry list of other inane things.  As the weather gets cold, if I find myself in a place that often serves raw oysters, I might eat some.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The next thing I&#8217;m reconsidering is writing off individuals who make misguided political endorsements.  There&#8217;s been a commercial running here in Virginia in support of Terry McAuliffe, you know, the man responsible for state troopers dying because of actions taken by his party&#8217;s local officials in Charlottesville in 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a doctor, Joseph Sakran, who&#8217;s appearing in TV commercials in support of McAuliffe.  My initial reaction was, &#8220;can I figure out a way that this guy never treats me?&#8221;  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In spite of hand motions that are almost as strange as <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCs84giQmEVI8NXXg78Fvk2g\" target=\"_blank\">Carey Wedler&#8217;s<\/a>, I shouldn&#8217;t just write him off for having incredibly incorrect conclusions about politics.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What he&#8217;s doing with these sorts of ads, and I understand that strategy was very effective for President Biden last year, is a form of <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Argument_from_authority\" target=\"_blank\">Argument From Authority<\/a>, which is a logical fallacy.  (Another good take on that is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thoughtco.com\/logical-fallacies-appeal-to-authority-250336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>&#8230;.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doctors used to also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.history.com\/news\/cigarette-ads-doctors-smoking-endorsement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recommend Lucky Strikes<\/a>.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doing the AAR on that, did a doctor&#8217;s recommendation actually help anybody by  leading them to choose Lucky Strikes?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I wonder how much advertising might be nullified if advertisers avoided use of those fallacies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Who knows?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Another week in the books. I still need to figure out how to remind myself that reconsideration is not a bad thing. In very basic military operations, as a leader, you conduct an After-Action Review (AAR) after you&#8217;ve finished what you planned to do. If you have no plan, nobody can ever analyze how you [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-scarred-brain-murmurings"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3632\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/control-h.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}