Month: August 2025

I’m trying to work through the news that dropped late in the day on the Friday before Labor Day.

Obviously, everybody who’s anybody, was already off to the last summer hurrah when the new dropped, so there’s not a lot written. Searching The Fine Web yielded this, which described what President Trump has been trying to do for most of the time since he retook office, but it doesn’t provide a lot of insight into what actually happened.

But it does point to the larger issue — Congress has dispatched its responsibilities to the Executive Branch, and the President is doing whatever he wants at the moment.

No, this isn’t just OrangeManBad. It started much earlier than him.

Maybe I shouldn’t have the you-broke-it-you-bought-it attitude, but what’s where I am. Am I going to be sympathetic? No, sorry. You lost my sympathy long ago.

I do kind of hope this can be used as precedent other places where Congress has dispatched things to the Administration, but I’m not going to hold my breath.

Congress hasn’t passed a regular budget since 2013 (for Fiscal Year 2014).

All they seem to be able to do is fundraise for their campaigns.

Are there things that could be done to fix that? Maybe, but all of them would require that Congress actually pass laws to set things straight. Again, I won’t be holding my breath.

Catching up on pods as usual. My last big writing part was kind of an effort to push people away from being scared of just about everything. Perhaps unsurprisingly, there were several pods being scare of AI. How is one supposed to believe anything with the super-scary AI engines just being able to create whatever evidence that used to suffice.

I really did have sex with that very-attractive celebrity. LOOK! I have a video of it! Tell me that that video isn’t real; didn’t; you view it?

I think, however, this is an easily-solvable issue, legally. Insist on creation-to-presentation validation. If you have a video, unless you have geotag data on the creation, and blockchain evidence to establish chain-of-custody, it’s not real.

That already sorta exists when it comes to mages; this looks shopped.

Something to think through further.

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What else is up? The oh-so-awesome insurance company is dragging its heels on my disability certification. The private company is taking a long time, but, in perspective, it’s going far better than it would be if I was trying to get some sort of government benefit.

Thinking about what the rest of the year is going wo look like after I start getting paid. Haven’t done much with the guitar stuff, but that’ll be on tap for tomorrow.

I’ve been following along with the outrage surrounding the DC takeover. The local news outlets have been trying to highlight “both sides” of the situation. I checked the local TV sources while I was listening to WTOP; are they searching for things to prove Orange Man Bad?

I’m seeing three basic perspectives on this:

1. Everything he does is awful, and just how awful it is can’t be understated. We’re all going to die! (This is understandable in a city where Officer Harris got well over 90% of the vote.)
2. There was a better way to do it, and it’s bad because OrangeManBad is doing it, and this other way should have been tried first
3. I may not like it, but it might work.

This story kind of hits those points. I don’t know if it’s just audience service, but they mention the Women’s March from January 2017 without any comment offensive backers. Okay, they’re bad, but nowhere nearly as bad as Trump.

I’m listening to/watching the news, and watching the local news stations, the coverage seems to be overwhelmingly-focused on position #1.

Along with the tack I’ve taken with the title of my Substack, “I’m Okay With This,” I’ve been thinking about Isaiah 41 quite a bit lately; be not afraid.

Maybe that’s influenced by too much attention to Human Progress. I’ll be the first to admit that many of the actions fall into the do-something-even-if-it’s-wrong category. The people in the second group I identified seem to fall into this camp. He’s never going to satisfy the people in Group One.

But what’s been happening, especially since the “Summer of Love,” hasn’t been working.

Logically, I understand that absence of evidence isn’t evidence of absence, but I have noticed a paucity of the usual crime stories since the takeover; maybe this will work?

I started writing this in the thick of the controversary over President Trump’s firing of the head of BLS statistics, but set it aside for a while. Given the media’s recent track record, maybe that’s not a bad thing.

But my ultimate conclusion is unchanged — it’s okay to get blown out if you’re not good at your job.

The colloquialism in the entry title is related to the outrage OUTRAGE President Trump used his hammer, firing someone, on the head of the BLS. The reasoning is something like “if the only tool you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” I was looking for proper attribution, but it looks like there’s no real good story on it, and it’s something that popped up in the 60s and 70s.

Why might I be looking for the line? President Trump’s catchphrase from his time at The Apprentice is “you’re fired.”

Recently, he did this to the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Some of the things I sample made a really big deal about the repeated employment restatements under the Biden Administration.

The employment numbers are one of the many factors used by the Federal Reserve calculating core interest rates.

Some. of the restatements under Biden were remarkable. The one in early 2023 comes immediately to mind.

Fre^H^H^HChris Cuomo did have a rather-decent take on this on his NewsNation show. (If I’m watching somewhat-regularly, I can joke, okay? Also, what happened to the bird?)

My ribbing is good-natured; as I said, I watch. He got fired for not being good at CNN. This is the way things are supposed to work. People seem to forget that. This is especially true for politicians and union members.

Yes, there’s something generational at work, too. I can remember my dad making jokes about how he lost his job when he was on terminal leave from the Army. While the retirement might have seemed premature to some, it was time for him. The Army continued on without him.

Back to the topic, if I was conspiratorial, I’d look at previous BLS revisions; how close are they to an election. But I’m not that conspiratorial about it.

I was inclined to accept the originally-reported outrage I saw over at Racket News. Don’t I understand that people make their livings analyzing those numbers before anyone else can?

Noted. But when the numbers completely off over and over again, why is it an outrage that someone gets fired?

Outrage actualities won’t fix the problems. Yes, the BLS head is a government employee, but if you fail “bigly” at your job, you should be fired. It doesn’t mean that you’re a bad person, regardless of what the MSNBC analyst might imply. Or what the union rep might say.

Bubuhbut, people rely on those numbers. Whatever. Run your own. If they line up, you can attribute your story to both official sources, and my agency’s sources.

(_{I think interest rates are artificially-low, and have been since the Clinton Administration. Rate cuts have been used as a king of economic panacea for the past quarter-century. What largely fed the late-90s/early-2000s balanced budgets were tax increases passed by President Bush and the Democratic Congress. Lips read and ignored.})

I think there might be something that ties in with polling. I wrote in one of the discussion threads on WTF‘s chat,

“2024 Iowa was an example, I suppose, but how much attention did it get?

I had to STFW for Ann Seltzer’s name.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/17/ann-selzer-retirement-iowa-poll-0019003

But for a government employee, there’d be a union rep who’d have the name at the ready.”

Anyone who’s worked in the private sector after the fall of the wall just yawns.

(Side note: I did run this through an AI tool for review. It found a couple of typos; unsurprising. But it did catch a few things that were typed-correctly, but confusingly-worded. When I have some spare cash, I will probably purchase that company’s product. No, it’s not ChatGPT…)

Even though there’s no space shuttle, now.

Whoever’s writing The Drudge Report had this as one of the top stories.

There’s something The Experts seem to always forget — it’s not 1987. Things that were difficult and expensive in 1987 are now basically instant and free-of-charge.

I remember heading into the stairwell of the quarters where we lived during that time to fetch our copy of The Stars and Stripes. One of the pages covered the exchange rates. AFN would also have the daily exchange rates at the end of its newscasts. If you were travelling among the countries within NATO, you needed to carry the local countries’ currency with you. You could easily find yourself in countries with three different currencies within an hour’s drive.

Going to Bastogne to tour the Battle of the Bulge battlefields? Neat! Make sure you have Belgian and Luxembourg Francs. If you’re getting there through France, you’ll want some French Francs. If you’re coming in through The Netherlands, make sure you’ve got some Guilder. (Traveler’s tip, too — the 5NLG coin was exactly the same size as a 5DM coin….and that’ll help save you on a pack of cigarettes from the fence-top machines when you get back to Germany)

But back to whatever interest rate is being paid on the US Dollar — it doesn’t matter very much today. Don’t like what the US is paying, and you’re worried that the dollar isn’t correctly-valued? Move to another currency. It’ll take a few minutes, and if the difference in return might make up for whatever costs you’ve paid to do the conversion almost immediately.

So go to EUR. CDN. DOGE. It really doesn’t matter what a central bank does. If your wealth is spread among many asset classes around the world, whatever the Federal Reserve does isn’t going to take everything.

_{(Am I disturbed by what pretty much every western government has done for the last quarter-century? Absolutely. But it’s not just the US Federal Reserve.)}

Kind of an uneventful week. I’m relieved it’s over. On Thursday, I managed to slam my right thumb It’s actually throbbing so often that it wakes me up from sleep.

Paperwork working. I don’t have to get the roto-rooter up the next five years.

Still trying to figure out what the rest of the year will be.